• A trusty recession signal is telling the Fed 'we're about where we need to be' on interest rates

    13 days ago - By Business Insider

    The flat yield curve suggests investors are not as convinced as Federal Reserve officials about their ability to continue raising interest rates without harming the economy.
    Steve Blitz of TS Lombard says what really matters for bank lending is the gap between the federal funds rate and the two-year note, which has been widening.
    St. Louis Fed's Bullard: "What we could do is take signals from financial markets that are telling us that we're about where we need to be right now."
    Look no further than the $15 trillion US government bond market for evidence investors are not convinced the...
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  • Fed likely to need to hike rates 'a bit beyond neutral': Evans

    Fed likely to need to hike rates 'a bit beyond neutral': Evans

    13 days ago - By Reuters

    The Federal Reserve will likely have to raise interest rates past the neutral rate to keep the economy on a sustainable growth path and inflation around target, according to Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans.
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