• Do we live in uncertain times?

    5 monthes ago - By FRED

    Ever wonder about the current state of the world? Well, FRED has two relevant indicators for the U.S. that may help you sleep better at night...or maybe worry even more. The first series calculates an index based on the proportion of newspaper stories that discuss uncertainty, changes to tax codes, and disagreement among forecasters. The second series relates more to market sentiment by looking at newspaper stories mentioning the economy, stock markets, and uncertainty specifically. The graph above shows that the two series correlate well, but aren't in total lock-step. Right now, the...
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