• Investment and Recessions

    5 monthes ago - By Calculated Risk

    A long, long, long time ago - almost twelve years ago - I wrote Investment and Recessions , explaining the usefulness of New Home Sales as a leading indicator.
    Here are some updated graphs. My view is new home sales and housing starts are two of the best leading indicators for the economy .
    The first graph shows the change in real GDP and Private Fixed Investment over the preceding four quarters, shaded areas are recessions.
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  • Since March 2018, new unit sales have tracked above the five-year aver

    Since March 2018, new unit sales have tracked above the five-year aver

    5 monthes ago - By AG Web

    Since March 2018, new unit sales have tracked above the five-year average.
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